US President Donald Trump’s remarks about potentially seizing Iran’s Kharg Island oil terminal have sharpened focus on the strategic and commercial stakes tied to one of the country’s most critical energy export hubs.Kharg Island, located in the Persian Gulf, serves as Iran’s primary offshore oil export terminal and handles the bulk of its crude shipments to global markets. Any disruption to operations at the facility would have immediate implications for global oil flows, particularly at a time when energy markets are already under strain due to ongoing conflict in the region and heightened risks to maritime trade routes.In an interview with Financial Times published early Monday, Trump had said, “Maybe we take Kharg Island, maybe we don’t,” adding, “We have a lot of options.” The comments came alongside indications of continued US and Israeli military activity in the region, even as diplomatic channels showed early signs of movement.The geopolitical tensions have already translated into volatility in energy markets. Iran’s control over export infrastructure, combined with its influence over the Strait of Hormuz, a key chokepoint through which a significant share of global oil passes, has raised concerns among traders about potential supply disruptions. Brent crude prices have surged sharply in recent weeks, reflecting fears of a broader supply shock.Kharg Island’s significance lies in its export capacity and as a logistical anchor for Iran’s oil sector. Any escalation affecting the terminal could constrain exports, tighten global supply, and further elevate prices. At the same time, the feasibility of physically securing or controlling the island remains uncertain given its proximity to the Iranian mainland and its exposure to counterstrikes.Trump also suggested that a longer-term presence would be required if such an operation were pursued, saying it “would mean we had to be there for a while.” Analysts note that beyond military considerations, sustaining operations at a strategic asset like Kharg Island would involve securing shipping lanes, protecting infrastructure, and ensuring uninterrupted loading of crude tankers, all of which are critical to maintaining oil market stability.Roughly 15 miles off Iran’s coast, Kharg Island accounts for about 90 per cent of the country’s crude oil exports, making it a critical node in its energy infrastructure. The island’s deep waters enable large oil tankers to dock, allowing uninterrupted shipment of crude, much of which is bound for China. It also hosts freshwater resources that support thousands of residents and key facilities.Given its central role, any direct strike on Kharg Island could significantly disrupt Iran’s oil exports and tighten global supply. However, analysts note that any attempt to invade and hold the island would expose US forces to heightened risk, placing them closer to Iranian defences compared to the current aerial campaign.

Kharg Island in numbers

US officials have also considered a blockade of the island as a potential pressure tactic to push Iran toward negotiations, signalling that Kharg could become a focal point in both military strategy and energy geopolitics.