The TOI correspondent from Washington: In a political shock that has rattled Washington, Democrats in deep red Texas flipped a state senate seat in a district that voted +17 for Donald Trump, amid claims from some Indian-Americans that they triggered the turnaround because of toxic MAGA attacks on the community.Taylor Rehmet, a US Air Force veteran and union machinist, defeated Republican Leigh Wambsganss by a decisive 57 % to 43 %, representing roughly a 30-point swing from 2024 and marking the first time a Democrat will hold the District 9 seat in decades.The election, triggered by the resignation of a GOP stalwart, has stunned Republicans and comes at a time Democrats are scoring unexpected wins in special contests (by-elections) nationwide — raising questions inside GOP ranks about Trump-era strategy of demonising immigrants. The unexpected Democratic victory reflects broader trends of Democratic overperformance in off-cycle elections since Trump’s second inauguration in January 2025. The shock District 9 result has also sparked debate over whether controversial Republican messaging toward Indian American communities contributed to the GOP defeat. Claims that Republican “rage-baiting” against Indians fueled the turnaround have circulated widely on social media and in post-election analysis. Critics point to Wambsganss’ campaign rhetoric, which echoed MAGA attacks on H-1B visas and immigration, labeling Indian migrants an “invasion” and “unassimilable.” Posts on X amplified this, with some users decrying Indians as “scammy” and accusing them of electoral fraud. Tarrant County, a large part of District 9, boasts a growing Indian American population—over 50,000 strong according to some estimates, many in tech and professional sectors. Voter turnout data shows heightened participation in precincts with high Asian American density, suggesting mobilization against perceived ethnic scapegoating. Some analysts have suggested that such rhetoric energized backlash among recent foreign-origin voters in diverse suburbs.“What happened yesterday in Texas is a reminder: Don’t mess with Indians. We are a moderate people and a key swing vote. Brown people are fed up with the GOP. Keep on attacking us and you will lose,” one Indian-American handle claimed on X. The result is also a setback for Abraham George, an Indian-American who chairs the Texas GOP, and who is under attack from MAGA for his Indian background despite being a MAGA figure himself.However, there is no direct polling or exit data tying the District 9 flip solely to anti-Indian rhetoric, and campaign messaging can cut multiple ways. Analysts caution that while backlash to inflammatory language could have contributed to mobilizing some voters, attributing the entire outcome to that factor oversimplifies a complex local political ecosystem.Nationally, the Texas flip is part of a broader, more ominous trend for the Republican Party. Since Trump’s second inauguration in January 2025, Democrats have consistently overperformed. According to The Downballot, Dems are outperforming their 2024 presidential benchmarks by an average of 15.7% in special elections. Across the country in 2025, they have flipped state legislative seats once only held by Republicans, including a Pennsylvania state senate seat Trump carried, and competitive wins in Iowa and Kentucky. In Georgia, Democrats made gains in public service commission special elections, turning two seats previously held by Republicans to Democratic control.At the municipal level, Democratic strength also appeared in the November 2025 New York City mayoral election, where Zohran Mamdani captured the mayor’s office with more than 50% of the vote in a high-turnout contest.Republican leaders in Texas have acknowledged the surprise. Lt Gov Dan Patrick described the outcome as a “wake-up call,” noting that special election dynamics can defy expectations but that Republicans must regroup ahead of November. Trump, who endorsed Wambsganss and urged turnout in the final days, distanced himself from the loss, calling it a “local” contest he was unaware of.